Spotlight 03/22: Bürgerkriege beenden. Militärische Siege und Friedensabkommen im Vergleich

    von Thorsten Gromes | Zur Publikation

    1 S. zum Beispiel Berg, Louis-Alexandre 2020: Civil–Military Relations and Civil War Recurrence: Security Forces in Postwar Politics, in: Journal of Conflict Resolution, 64: 7–8, 1307–1334, 1319–1323; Caplan, Rober/Hoeffler, Anke 2017: Why peace endures: an analysis of post-conflict stabilization, in: European Journal of International Security, 2: 2, 133–152, 143; Loyle, Cyanne E./Appel, Benjamin J. 2017: Conflict Recurrence and Postconflict Justice: Addressing Motivations and Opportunities for Sustainable Peace, in: International Studies Quarterly, 61: 3, 690–703, 699–700.

    2https://www.hsfk.de/forschung/projekte/projekt/einseitig-oder-ausgewogen-welche-nachkriegsordnung-wahrt-den-innerstaatlichen-frieden

    3 Kreutz, Joakim 2010: How and when armed conflicts end: Introducing the UCDP Conflict Termination da-taset, in: Journal of Peace Research, 47: 2, 243–250, 246; Wallensteen, Peter 2015: Quality Peace. Peace-building, Victory, and World Order, New York, 21, 97.

    4 Licklider, Roy 1995: The Consequences of Negotiated Settlement in Civil Wars, 1945–1993, in: American Political Science Review, 89: 3, 681–690, 684–685.

    5 Blainey, Geoffrey 1973: The Causes of War, New York, 111–123.

    6 Wagner, Robert Harrison 1993: The Causes of Peace, in: Licklider, Roy (Hrsg.): Stopping the Killing. How Civil Wars End, New York und London, 235–268, 242–246.

    7 Toft, Monica Duffy 2010: Securing the Peace. The Durable Settlement of Civil Wars, Princeton und Oxford, 33-34, 41.

    8 Powell, Robert 2006: War as a Commitment Problem, in: International Organization, 60: 1, 169–203, 183, 188.

    9 Licklider, Roy 1995: The Consequences of Negotiated Settlement in Civil Wars, 1945–1993, in: American Political Science Review, 89: 3, 681–690, 685; Toft, Monica Duffy 2010: Securing the Peace. The Durable Settlement of Civil Wars, Princeton und Oxford, 41.

    10 Kaufmann, Daniel/Kraay, Aart/Mastruzzi, Massimo 2010: The Worldwide Governance Indicators. Metho-dology and Analytical Issues, Policy Research Working Paper 5430, Washington, DC, https://documents1.worldbank.org/curated/en/630421468336563314/pdf/WPS5430.pdf.

    11 Walter, Barbara F. 2004: Does Conflict Beget Conflict? Explaining Recurring Civil War, in: Journal of Conflict Resolution, 41: 3, 371–388, 374; Gurses, Mehmet/Rost, Nicolas/McLeod, Patrick 2008: Mediating Civil War Settlements and the Duration of Peace, in: International Interactions, 34: 2, 129–155, 139.